How Racism Creeps Back

1. The Foundational Research & Data Sources

To support the conclusion that blanket criminal record exclusions create an unlawful “disparate impact” under Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, the EEOC and related legal briefs relied on three main pillars of research: [1, 2]

  • Federal Criminal Justice Data (BJS & FBI): The EEOC cited national longitudinal datasets from the Bureau of Justice Statistics and arrest data from the FBI Uniform Crime Reporting Program to establish baseline conviction and incarceration rates across racial demographics.
  • Self-Report Behavior vs. Arrest Studies (NSDUH & Youth Cohorts): To address whether higher conviction rates reflected higher rates of actual criminal behavior, researchers compared arrest records against self-reported behavior surveys—such as the National Survey on Drug Use and Health and the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. These studies tracked teens and young adults in their twenties to measure how often illegal acts (particularly drug possession and low-level offenses) resulted in formal charges.
  • Prosecutorial Discretion and Plea Bargaining Studies: Criminological research (including landmark reports by The Sentencing Project and state-level sentencing commissions) examined how cases moved through the courts. Researchers analyzed charging decisions, access to private legal counsel versus overburdened public defenders, and plea bargains to see how similar offenses resulted in felony convictions for Black defendants versus reduced misdemeanor charges, diversion programs, or expungements for White defendants.
  • Audit Studies on Hiring (Pager): The 2012 guidance also drew heavily on sociological field experiments—most notably sociologist Devah Pager’s landmark 2003 audit study, “The Mark of a Criminal Record,” which sent matched pairs of young Black and White men in their early twenties to apply for entry-level jobs with identical resumes, varying only whether they disclosed a felony drug conviction.

2. Broad Statistical Conclusions

Across these datasets and studies, the research cited by the EEOC established several broad statistical patterns:

  • Disproportionate Lifetime Likelihood of Incarceration: According to BJS projections cited in the EEOC’s 2012 guidance, 1 in 3 Black men and 1 in 6 Hispanic men were expected to be incarcerated in their lifetime, compared to 1 in 17 White men.
  • Disparities in Arrests vs. Population Share: While Black Americans made up roughly 12% to 13% of the general U.S. population during the periods studied, FBI and BJS data showed they accounted for roughly 28% of all arrests and 36% to 40% of the incarcerated population.
  • Comparable Rates of Underlying Conduct: Self-report studies consistently found that White and Black youth and young adults used and sold illicit drugs at roughly similar rates (with White youth occasionally reporting slightly higher rates of usage). Despite comparable behavior, Black youth were arrested for drug offenses at rates 2.5 to 5 times higher than White youth, largely due to heavier policing in urban neighborhoods.
  • Divergent Charging and Plea Outcomes: Research on juvenile and young-adult court processing showed that White defendants—who were statistically more likely to afford private attorneys and come from neighborhoods with diversion programs—were significantly more likely to have felony charges reduced to misdemeanors, receive probation without a formal conviction, or have records sealed. Conversely, Black defendants were more likely to be detained pretrial, which statistically increased the pressure to plead guilty quickly to felony charges just to be released from jail.
  • Compounding Workplace Penalties: Pager’s audit research demonstrated that a criminal record reduced callbacks for White applicants by 50% (from 34% to 17%), but reduced callbacks for Black applicants by nearly 65% (from 14% to 5%). Notably, White applicants with a criminal record received slightly more callbacks (17%) than Black applicants without any criminal record at all (14%). [1, 2, 3, 4]

Because of these compounding disparities at the arrest, charging, and plea stages, the EEOC concluded that a past conviction was frequently an unreliable proxy for actual behavioral risk, leading the agency to recommend individualized assessments rather than automatic disqualifications. [1]


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